"In 10 years, agricultural production will be managed by artificial intelligence (AI).
Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2025 9:54 am
This was announced at the IT forum of the agro-industrial complex (AIC) of RussiaSmart Agro 2023, organized by the ComNews Information Group, was reported by the general director of the company that develops automated technologies for agribusiness, Geomir, Ilya Voronkov (pictured on the right).
There will be farms that will malta whatsapp number database automatically manage all production processes, which will reduce the number of people involved per hectare. For example, in industrial production, there are large capacities on huge areas that are managed by only 10-20 people, the rest happens automatically. The same will happen in open-air fields. One person will manage dozens of processes with the same efficiency or even more efficiently. The main question is how widespread this will be. There will probably be a layer of farms with basic technologies and leading farms with the highest indicators. In addition, drones will occupy a large niche in agriculture. The state supports their development in the coming years, so a large drone industry will appear in Russia. Their use will become more widespread in the industry in the amount of tens of thousands of pieces across the country. A major transformation of the agro-industrial complex will definitely happen in the next 10 years," said Ilya Voronkov.
Market experts have different opinions about the digitalization of the industry. For example, Sergey Utkin, head of projects in the agro-industrial complex of the Concept IT project implementation company (second from left in the photo), is sure that there will be no breakthrough in the coming years: "I think that there will be no revolution in 10 years. We will observe some changes. Some innovations will take root, some will not, but nothing more. Yes, IT companies are ready to go into any space, to implement the most daring ideas. But they must take root on Earth. Many circumstances and uncertainty about the future will not allow this to happen. I am sure that in 10 years, diesel-powered equipment will be driving in the fields, not hybrids, and certainly not electric ones."
Dmitry Moskvin, head of the IT department at Shchyolkovo Agrokhim, a manufacturer of modern plant protection products, agrochemicals and seeds (pictured left), did not risk making long-term predictions: "It is too far to plan for 10 years. Technologies change quickly. Even if we take IT budgeting, the best option is two years. Businesses should understand how much they can earn next year in order to spend on the future. But technologies are moving at a rapid pace. Therefore, it is unclear what will happen next. In addition, there is a problem with personnel. Currently, very few educational institutions graduate tractor drivers and combine operators. Therefore, we need to plan not for 10 years, but for two or three years."
Roman Vlasov, head of the product group at the company that develops and manufactures agricultural machinery, KZ Rostselmash (second from right in the photo), presented two scenarios for the development of digitalization: “There is a negative scenario. This is the geopolitical situation, which has disrupted a huge number of business ties. The tension in the political world does not have the best effect on the agricultural sector. If this process develops, then we will have a negative scenario, and China will quickly take advantage of this. In the positive development, there is talk about unmanned equipment, combines without a person. A huge number of developments that are being carried out, with the right approach, should lead to this. That is, human participation in the life of the farm will be minimal. There are systems that predict crop yields, give tasks to machines, people - for example, in what proportion to mix the composition of fertilizers, what day is best to sow, at what time to release the combine in the field. If this process does not slow down, it will be irreversible. Both options seem unlikely to me. Most likely, we will enter a kind of middle course. Indeed, technologies will help everyone - agricultural producers, equipment manufacturers, developers of electronic systems. But the most likely development of events is that the system will balance out. There are many companies that show interesting products, but only the strongest of them will survive."
There will be farms that will malta whatsapp number database automatically manage all production processes, which will reduce the number of people involved per hectare. For example, in industrial production, there are large capacities on huge areas that are managed by only 10-20 people, the rest happens automatically. The same will happen in open-air fields. One person will manage dozens of processes with the same efficiency or even more efficiently. The main question is how widespread this will be. There will probably be a layer of farms with basic technologies and leading farms with the highest indicators. In addition, drones will occupy a large niche in agriculture. The state supports their development in the coming years, so a large drone industry will appear in Russia. Their use will become more widespread in the industry in the amount of tens of thousands of pieces across the country. A major transformation of the agro-industrial complex will definitely happen in the next 10 years," said Ilya Voronkov.
Market experts have different opinions about the digitalization of the industry. For example, Sergey Utkin, head of projects in the agro-industrial complex of the Concept IT project implementation company (second from left in the photo), is sure that there will be no breakthrough in the coming years: "I think that there will be no revolution in 10 years. We will observe some changes. Some innovations will take root, some will not, but nothing more. Yes, IT companies are ready to go into any space, to implement the most daring ideas. But they must take root on Earth. Many circumstances and uncertainty about the future will not allow this to happen. I am sure that in 10 years, diesel-powered equipment will be driving in the fields, not hybrids, and certainly not electric ones."
Dmitry Moskvin, head of the IT department at Shchyolkovo Agrokhim, a manufacturer of modern plant protection products, agrochemicals and seeds (pictured left), did not risk making long-term predictions: "It is too far to plan for 10 years. Technologies change quickly. Even if we take IT budgeting, the best option is two years. Businesses should understand how much they can earn next year in order to spend on the future. But technologies are moving at a rapid pace. Therefore, it is unclear what will happen next. In addition, there is a problem with personnel. Currently, very few educational institutions graduate tractor drivers and combine operators. Therefore, we need to plan not for 10 years, but for two or three years."
Roman Vlasov, head of the product group at the company that develops and manufactures agricultural machinery, KZ Rostselmash (second from right in the photo), presented two scenarios for the development of digitalization: “There is a negative scenario. This is the geopolitical situation, which has disrupted a huge number of business ties. The tension in the political world does not have the best effect on the agricultural sector. If this process develops, then we will have a negative scenario, and China will quickly take advantage of this. In the positive development, there is talk about unmanned equipment, combines without a person. A huge number of developments that are being carried out, with the right approach, should lead to this. That is, human participation in the life of the farm will be minimal. There are systems that predict crop yields, give tasks to machines, people - for example, in what proportion to mix the composition of fertilizers, what day is best to sow, at what time to release the combine in the field. If this process does not slow down, it will be irreversible. Both options seem unlikely to me. Most likely, we will enter a kind of middle course. Indeed, technologies will help everyone - agricultural producers, equipment manufacturers, developers of electronic systems. But the most likely development of events is that the system will balance out. There are many companies that show interesting products, but only the strongest of them will survive."